Some Key Findings
- The majority of Trump voters were white.
- Females voted according to party affiliations, and Clinton being a woman or Trump’s statements about women seemed to have little effect. Clinton’s 12-point margin over Trump among female voters is close to the 11-point margin Obama had over Romney among female voters in 2012.
- There was also no surge of Hispanic voters, as was expected. Trump received 29% of the Latino vote – more than Romney in 2012, while Clinton received 6-points less of the Hispanic vote than Obama in 2012.
A caveat: How should we be looking at exit polls?
Before jumping to conclusions about all the statistics coming out after the election, we must recognize that exit polls are just that – polls. Here’s the Merriam-Webster definition of an exit poll:
“A poll taken (by news media) of voters leaving the voting place”
We all now know how flawed the pre-election polls were, so we must look at the above data with caution. There seems to have been a huge silent majority of people who were scared of being criticized for their Trump vote and did not participate in many polls. In fact, one polling firm called Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. said Trump performed better when voters were talking to a automated voice instead of a live one.
This skewed the results of many pre-election polls, and probably also skewed the results of exit polls, which feature broad conclusions based on only a fraction of voters.